Matt thinks that, as a culture, we need to get more comfortable with uncertainty. “We’re not always going to have straightforward answers, especially when it comes to researching, which is what we're doing,” he explains. “We’re researching our relationship with media and technology and culture. That is subjective by nature. That is dynamic. That is ever evolving. So for anyone to pretend as if they have the answer is lying to themselves. They're lying to others.”
This philosophy shapes his approach to foresight and trend analysis. “I mean I work in foresight. It’s an entire profession of people claiming that they could predict the future. And I am very conscious of attempting to crack that veneer of nonsense or that sparkle of ‘we know.’ But for me, foresight is more about preparation than it is about prediction, and it’s more about choice than anything else. The idea that we get to pick and choose the futures that we want to engage in.”
Despite working adjacent to trend forecasting, Matt recoils at being called a futurist. “There are a lot of people who call themselves futurists who deal with the future, saying ‘prepare for this’ or ‘do that’ with an air of certainty,” he says. “I really am not attracted to that. I would rather call myself a humanist, focusing on our current moment and our complexity rather than peering way too far ahead, precisely because I believe we have more autonomy and empowerment than we want to accept.”
Matt goes back to this analysis on trend reports, as they influence substantial investment and innovation decisions. “These publications aren’t interested in the future as much as they’re interested in creating sales collateral to appear hip,” he observes. “The easiest way to do that is just copy and paste what everyone else is doing.” The result is years of recycled predictions about crypto, NFTs, AI, VR, and metaverse developments, with continuous investment despite questionable outcomes.
Matt wants us to treat trend reports as blueprints for possibility rather than excuses to avoid taking creative risks. “Those who write these trend reports may not be curing cancer or working as rocket scientists, but they’re upstream of significant cultural influence in some of the most powerful organizations in the world,” he notes. “I don’t like the whole prediction thing because it dismisses our ability to actually author our future.”
By embracing both complexity and humanism, Matt suggests we can reclaim agency in determining what comes next, rather than merely accepting trends as inevitable. It’s about acknowledging the gray areas, the nuance, and our power to make choices that shape tomorrow.
Here are a few ways you can start doing that yourself:
- 1. The Courage Gap: In a world where algorithms push us toward group think, and AI towards the digitally recorded past, the most valuable cultural contributions often exist in places deemed off-limits. Consider where in your life you might be surrendering your creative autonomy to prevailing winds rather than charting your own course.
- 2. Algorithmic Mindfulness: Practice developing awareness of when your choices (creative, professional, or personal) are being shaped by optimization metrics versus authentic curiosity. The most meaningful connections often emerge when we prioritize genuine human engagement over performance metrics.
- 3. Present-Tense Agency: Rather than consuming predictions about “inevitable futures,” ask yourself what aspects of tomorrow you can shape today. The most impactful innovations often come not from following trend reports but from addressing unmet human needs that exist in the present moment.